Impact of BlackRock’s AUM on Spot Bitcoin ETFs: Bitcoin Suisse’s $90 Billion Projection

In Bitcoin Suisse’s recently published 70-page “Outlook 2024” report, Dr. Marcus M. Dapp, Head of Research, presents a thorough analysis of the cryptocurrency market and its future prospects. Despite a challenging year marked by inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical tensions, Dr. Dapp notes the surprising resilience of Bitcoin, which saw a 150% increase in value, defying traditional bear market definitions.

Bitcoin Suisse is a financial service provider specializing in crypto-assets. Based in Switzerland, the company offers a range of services related to cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology. Their offerings include:

1. Trading and Brokerage Services: Bitcoin Suisse provides a platform for buying, selling, and trading various cryptocurrencies. They cater to both private and institutional clients, offering access to a wide range of crypto assets.
2. Custody and Storage Solutions: Recognizing the importance of security in the crypto world, Bitcoin Suisse offers secure storage solutions for digital assets. This includes both physical and digital custody services to ensure the safekeeping of cryptocurrencies.
3. Crypto Financial Services: Beyond trading and custody, Bitcoin Suisse provides a variety of financial services in the crypto domain. This includes services like crypto lending, where clients can borrow against their crypto assets, and staking services, allowing clients to earn rewards by participating in the network of certain cryptocurrencies.
4. Blockchain Consulting: The company also offers expertise in blockchain technology, providing consulting services to businesses and institutions looking to explore or integrate blockchain solutions.
5. Crypto Payments and Transactions: Bitcoin Suisse facilitates crypto payments and transactions, enabling businesses and individuals to use cryptocurrencies for various financial operations.

Overall, Bitcoin Suisse is known for bridging traditional finance with the crypto world, offering a suite of services that cater to the needs of a diverse client base, from individual investors to large institutions. Their role in the crypto industry is significant, especially in Switzerland, which is known for its progressive stance on digital assets and blockchain technology.

Key Highlights of the Report

1. Global Macro Forces and Crypto Markets: Dr. Dapp discusses the tension between global macroeconomic turmoil and the positive outlook for crypto assets in 2024. He anticipates initial market headwinds, especially in the early months of 2024, due to tight monetary conditions and low confidence in inflation control. However, he predicts a quick recovery for crypto assets as monetary conditions ease, and liquidity is injected into the market.
2. Bitcoin Halving and Spot ETFs: The report emphasizes the significance of the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024, reducing the block subsidy from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. Dr. Dapp argues that this event is likely to be underpriced again, potentially leading to significant price appreciation. Additionally, he highlights the anticipation surrounding the potential approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the United States, which could lead to substantial investment inflows.
3. Institutional Adoption and Valuation Models: The report predicts increased institutional adoption of crypto assets and discusses the need for suitable valuation models. It references VanEck’s sophisticated valuation model for Bitcoin, setting a long-term target of $275k per bitcoin.
4. Energy Consumption Debate and Bitcoin Mining: Dr. Dapp addresses the energy consumption debate surrounding Bitcoin. He presents an alternative view where Bitcoin mining, by aligning economic incentives, could lead to climate-positive outcomes. The report suggests that Bitcoin mining could drive the development of renewable energy projects and reduce fossil energy venting/flaring.
5. Predictions for Crypto in 2024: The report includes 13 predictions for the crypto market in 2024, such as Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs, the increasing institutional adoption of crypto assets, and Ethereum potentially outperforming Bitcoin in the next bull run.
6. ESG-Focused Institutional Investment: Dr. Dapp points out the potential impact of ESG-focused institutional investment in the crypto space, particularly in Bitcoin-related climate projects.
7. Bitcoin Network’s Carbon-Negative Potential: The report highlights a study suggesting that the Bitcoin network could become carbon-negative by 2026 through innovative mining operations.

Galaxy Digital CEO’s Recent Comments About Bitcoin

Michael Novogratz, the founder, chairman, and CEO of Galaxy Digital, recently shared his insights on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” about the cryptocurrency market, discussing various topics with co-anchor Joe Kernen.

In the interview, Novogratz highlighted Bitcoin’s impressive price surge over the year, attributing it to its role as an alternative to fiat currencies and a reaction to expansive monetary policies. This surge, especially after the Federal Reserve hinted at a potential easing phase, has seen Bitcoin’s value increase by 150%, countering any skepticism about its viability.

He also touched upon the Federal Reserve’s recent dovish stance, which has significantly influenced various markets, including fixed income and equities. This shift, according to Novogratz, is a response to decreasing inflation without a corresponding collapse in economic growth.

Novogratz expressed optimism about the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF before January 10th, anticipating that this development would inject further momentum into the crypto market. He expects that once approved by the U.S. SEC, a spot Bitcoin ETF would start trading within six to eight weeks.

Regarding the current state of the crypto market, Novogratz observed a high level of enthusiasm, bordering on mania, in trading crypto stocks. While he finds this slightly concerning due to the potential for market corrections, he believes the market is still in a bullish phase.

Discussing Bitcoin’s future role, Novogratz speculated that it could serve as both a safe haven and a speculative asset. He cited the U.S. government’s lack of fiscal prudence, especially in an election year with projected budget deficits, as a factor that could drive more institutional investors to allocate a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin and Ethereum, potentially pushing prices higher.

Novogratz also addressed negative perceptions of Bitcoin by figures like Jamie Dimon and Elizabeth Warren. He argued that the use of Bitcoin for illicit activities is overstated compared to fiat currencies and pointed out that respected investors globally recognize Bitcoin’s value.

Lastly, he spoke about the regulatory landscape, noting bipartisan interest in Washington, D.C., to pass legislation providing a clear framework for cryptocurrencies and stablecoins. Novogratz expressed hope for regulatory progress post-election, regardless of the political administration.

Featured Image via Pixabay

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