Bitcoin price could drop 7%, but MicroStrategy nearly merits S&P 500 inclusion

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• Bitcoin price’s immediate support at $51,335 is under threat as the king of cryptocurrency leans south.
• BTC could slide 7% to test the $48,000 psychological level before the next leg up.
• A decisive close above the $52,985 range high would invalidate the bearish thesis.

Bitcoin (BTC) price has managed to climb a commendable distance since October, with the move benefitting MicroStrategy the most, among other investors. The company, having demonstrated strong support for BTC through successive purchases, could soon merit S&P 500 inclusion as it steadily checks the boxes for listing criteria.

Bitcoin could position MicroStrategy for S&P 500 inclusion consideration

Boasting around 190,000 BTC tokens worth almost $10 billion, business intelligence firm MicroStrategy now records a market capitalization of $12 billion. It comes after the firm made a big bet on the giant crypto, BTC, with the boldness almost earning the company a place on the American stock market’s most important index, the S&P 500.

NEW: Now at a $12 billion market cap after its #Bitcoin bet, MicroStrategy is close to qualifying for the S&P 500

One of the largest companies in the world pic.twitter.com/9a9Xn3lGpl

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) February 21, 2024

The threshold for listing on the S&P 500, the list of America’s largest 500 publicly-traded firms, is possession of a market capitalization no lower than $15.8 billion. With such a high bar, it is not easy for a company to make it to this selection criterion. Nevertheless, MicroStrategy is progressively recording steady growth with its Bitcoin investments, catapulting itself toward the threshold with every purchase.

Besides another voluminous purchase, another factor that could propel MicroStrategy closer to the S&P 500 threshold is a show of strength by Bitcoin price. Specifically, if BTC extends north, clearing the $52,985 range high and ultimately retaking its all-time high of $69,000.

As it stands, BTC is only 23% away from its peak price, with a listing on the S&P 500 likely to inspire confidence in Bitcoin, so much so that BTC could easily start making its way into nearly every portfolio.

Rising market cap and TTM profitability could position $MSTR for S&P 500 eligibility, pending U.S. Index Committee approval.

If MSTR is included, it could spark a massive positive feedback loop enabling #bitcoin to begin automatically infiltrating nearly every portfolio. pic.twitter.com/2e4m6oXGJu

— Joe Burnett ()³ (@IIICapital) February 15, 2024

Other selection criteria for the S&P 500 include meeting liquidity thresholds and a consistent track record of profit-making for a minimum period of four successive quarters right before making the application.

Meanwhile, in an interview with Bloomberg, MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor said, “I’m gonna be buying the top forever,” adding, “Bitcoin is the exit strategy. It is the strongest asset.”

Bitcoin price outlook as MicroStrategy commits to endless BTC purchases

Bitcoin price is leaning to the south, after slipping below the immediate support at $51,335. It comes after the Relative Strength Index (RSI) executed a sell signal, crossing below its signal line (yellow band).

The histogram bars of the Awesome Oscillator (AO) are also flashing red. Those of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) fade while edging toward negative territory. The MACD is also almost crossing below its signal line (orange band), a crossover that has historically instigated a bearish cycle.

With these features, Bitcoin price could produce a 7% fall to the $48,000 psychological level. If this level fails to hold, sidelined investors could have a chance to enter right above the supply zone turned bullish breaker between $45,556 and $46,691. However, a break and close below its midline at $46,166 would confirm an extended fall.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart

Conversely, if the bulls find strength, Bitcoin price could push north to escape the confines of the ascending channel. Such a move could see BTC clear the $52,985 range high, with a decisive move above this blockade invalidating the bullish thesis.

The next logical target for Bitcoin would be the $55,000 milestone, or in a highly bullish case, the $60,000 psychological level.

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