Analytics

Crypto Countdown: $2.4B In Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Set To Expire, Market Volatility Ahead?

As the clock ticks closer to the end of today, May 3, the cryptocurrency market braces itself for potential upheavals, with roughly $2.4 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options set to expire.

This significant event could catalyze notable shifts in market dynamics, steering the trajectory of Bitcoin and Ethereum prices in the near term.

Notably, Options contracts in the crypto sphere allow traders to hedge against price volatility or speculate on future price movements without directly holding the assets. Typically structured as either calls or puts, these contracts enable buying (call) or selling (put) at predetermined prices within a specified timeframe.

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In contrast, Ethereum’s options market is also teeming with activity, marked by the upcoming expiry of contracts valued at around $1 billion. With a put-to-call ratio of 0.37, the sentiment leans even more bullish than Bitcoin, indicating stronger trader confidence in Ethereum’s price performance.

Ethereum’s designated maximum pain point sits at $3,000, aligning with key psychological and technical support levels.

May 3 Options Data
23,000 BTC options are about to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.49, a Maxpain point of $61,000 and a notional value of $1.4 billion.
330,000 ETH options are due to expire with a Put Call Ratio of 0.36, Maxpain point of $3,000 and notional value of $1… pic.twitter.com/mEA4PV98C3

— Greeks.live (@GreeksLive) May 3, 2024

Implications And Bitcoin Insights

Historically, the expiration of such a voluminous cache of options has precipitated abrupt price fluctuations in the spot markets for Bitcoin and Ethereum. This is attributed to the large-scale repositioning by institutional and retail investors in anticipation of or in response to the expiry outcomes.

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Similarly, Ethereum has shown resilience, climbing above the $3,000 threshold with a modest 3% gain. These upticks coincide with broader market analyses like that of Marco Johanning, a well-known crypto analyst and founder of The Summit Club, suggesting that foundational bullish sentiments remain intact despite recent corrections.

Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView

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