Spot Ethereum ETF Approval Likely to Happen on July 4

Key Points:

• Spot Ethereum ETF approval could take place on July 4, with major firms like BlackRock and Grayscale involved.
• Spot Bitcoin ETFs launched successfully in January, but Ethereum ETF listings might be delayed until September 2024.
• Analysts doubt Ethereum ETFs will match Bitcoin ETF success due to smaller market cap and trading volumes.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is nearing the approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to the spot price of Ethereum, with a potential green light as early as July 4, according to Reuters.

Ethereum Spot ETF Approval Day Is Approaching

Eight ETF issuers, including prominent firms like BlackRock, VanEck, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale Investments, are seeking SEC approval for these funds. The move follows their successful introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January, a milestone achieved after a decade-long struggle with regulators.

Executives from two of the firms, who requested anonymity due to the confidential nature of the discussions, reported that the process has advanced to resolving only minor issues. A lawyer involved in the process echoed this sentiment, suggesting that spot Ethereum ETF approval could be imminent, possibly within a week or two.

The January launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs was highly successful, attracting around $8 billion in assets initially and growing to nearly $38 billion by late June. However, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust saw its holdings decrease from $27 billion to $17.8 billion after converting its trust into an ETF.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler indicated that the launch process for Ethereum ETFs is proceeding smoothly, though he hinted that actual listings might take longer, potentially extending to September 2024. This timeline contrasts with the optimism of analysts like Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas, who predicted an early July launch.

VanEck has already filed a Form 8-A for its Ethereum ETF, signaling a possible imminent listing. Last month, the SEC approved 19b-4 forms for eight Ethereum ETFs, with firms now awaiting the activation of their registration statements (S-1s) before trading can begin.

Ethereum ETF Market Impact May Not Be as Expected

The spot Ethereum ETF approval marks a significant shift in regulatory stance and has drawn attention in the context of the 2024 election year, where pro-crypto sentiment is becoming a notable factor. The Stand with Crypto political action committee highlights that around 52 million Americans hold cryptocurrencies, forming a substantial voter bloc.

Despite the excitement, some analysts, including James Butterfill of Coinshares, caution that Ethereum ETFs may not replicate the success of their Bitcoin counterparts due to Ethereum’s smaller market cap and lower trading volumes. The recent 10% decline in Ether’s price also tempers expectations for these new financial products.

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