Bitcoin RSI Goes Bearish For The First Time Since August 2023, Will It Crash Below $40,000?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is an important indicator for any cryptocurrency, and Bitcoin is no different. Given that the pioneer cryptocurrency has been around the longest, the abundance of data makes it possible to use this indicator in an attempt to pinpoint where the price might be headed next. This time around, the indicator is turning bearish, which means that the Bitcoin price could be headed toward further decline from here.

Analyst Says RSI Is Turning Bearish For Bitcoin

Crypto analyst Alan Santana took to the TradingView website to share a bearish development for the Bitcoin price. The analysis, which focused on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), shows a continuation of the bearish trend as Bitcoin is poised to fall further.

The crypto analyst, using the Bitcoin weekly chart, shows that the RSI is actually flashing a 3-year long bearish divergence. This is backed up by the RSI chart which showed a continuous decline over the the year 2024 after reaching a local peak at the start of the year.

Bitcoin’s RSI has declined around 42% since the year began, going from as high as 88 to 50.6 at the time of the analysis. However, Alan Santana uses a longer timeframe from 2021 to 2024, showing a bearish divergence in this indicator.

This bearish divergence has emerged as the RSI indicator presented a lower high in 2024 compared to the 95 peak of 2021. According to the analyst, this means that the RSI indicator is now turning bearish for the first time since August 2023. This makes it the most bearish that the Bitcoin indicator has become in one year.

How Low Will The BTC Price Drop?

At the time of the analysis, the Bitcoin price had already seen a brutal drop from $70,000 to below $60,000 before a small recovery at the time of the writing. However, the crypto analyst does not believe this is the end and warns investors to expect further decline.

Going by the chart, Alan Santana expects that the Bitcoin price will fall over 20% from here once more. This would mean a price decline below $50,000. The crypto analyst puts the bottom of this decline at around $44,000.

If this forecast were to materialize, it would mean the price would revisit the $40,000 level for the first time since January 2024. However, it is not all bad news as the crypto analyst explains that “This, and other signals, is telling us that there is room for lower prices; much lower, before we experience new highs and boom growth.”

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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