Bitcoin’s ‘Uptober Rally’ Succumbs to Profit-Taking as Bears Dominate

After riding the wave of “Uptober,” Bitcoin is facing a reality check as November ushers in a cooler market climate. Despite the euphoric 27.9% leap the previous month, Bitcoin has seen a modest retreat, shedding 3% in a day’s trade. Traders, buoyed by the recent halt in interest rate hikes, are exiting their positions, perhaps looking to cash out some gains from the rally.

Liquidity and Profit-Taking

After an eventful October marked by significant price movements that led to Bitcoin reaching its highest point of the year, a different trend is emerging in the subsequent period. As November begins, long Bitcoin positions are facing the heat, with over $21.1 million liquidated in just half a day on the 2nd. This shift has clipped Bitcoin’s wings, with trading volumes declining significantly from the $14.7 billion peak late last month.

BTC/USD 24-hour price chart (source: CoinStats)

Moreover, the growing percentage of profitable Bitcoin wallets hints at a potential surge in profit-taking actions. Over 81% of Bitcoin investors are sitting on gains, but trading volumes are not keeping pace, unlike in October. This discrepancy could nudge Bitcoin’s price downward as more traders may opt to cash in.

The Spotlight on Bitcoin ETFs and Macro Factors

Amidst this slight downturn, the crypto community remains fixed on the saga of the Bitcoin ETF applications. Top-tier financial players are anticipating regulatory green lights. Despite the reluctance of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which might push decisions to 2024, there’s a silver lining. Institutional crypto funds have welcomed their most significant weekly inflow in over a year, signaling robust confidence in the long-term prospects of Bitcoin.

We are seeing a strong retracement after #Bitcoin hit our first target.

Now it’s time to sit back & wait until the retracement is over as they are part of the game.

I stand by my prediction that the previous resistance will hold as support! ($30-$32k). Let’s see! pic.twitter.com/AcWT3AWcy5

— MMCrypto (@MMCrypto) November 3, 2023

Furthermore, the Federal Reserve’s pause on interest rate hikes has yet to translate into a Bitcoin price boost. Yet, analysts remain optimistic, forecasting a rebound, possibly in time for the festive season.

Hence, even as short-term currents sway Bitcoin, the long-term outlook stays bullish. Institutions are warming up to the digital asset, and the market’s foundations suggest resilience. Investors and traders, seasoned and new, are watching closely, keen to see where the tide will turn next in cryptocurrency.

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